Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.610509 0.677082 0.749085 0.832942 0.928165 1.033212 1.158248
2025-08-31 0.499448 0.589776 0.695043 0.827604 0.991229 1.188069 1.445032
2025-09-07 0.439821 0.541375 0.665778 0.831017 1.047189 1.323807 1.710135
2025-09-14 0.390621 0.496499 0.631340 0.818158 1.074253 1.418911 1.928112
2025-09-21 0.353904 0.462150 0.604617 0.809271 1.101432 1.512495 2.151173
2025-09-28 0.316352 0.422344 0.565673 0.777844 1.091240 1.549162 2.292247
2025-10-05 0.300347 0.410050 0.562537 0.795340 1.151587 1.693176 2.613625
2025-10-12 0.285331 0.397499 0.557357 0.808407 1.205349 1.831604 2.943664
2025-10-19 0.270192 0.383312 0.548203 0.813907 1.246841 1.953820 3.262123
2025-10-26 0.256518 0.370076 0.539106 0.818114 1.285795 2.074987 3.594723
2025-11-02 0.245271 0.359551 0.533092 0.826255 1.331370 2.211565 3.974765
2025-11-09 0.229101 0.340267 0.511872 0.807365 1.328280 2.260826 4.192519
2025-11-16 0.220165 0.331941 0.507782 0.817360 1.377891 2.413753 4.646790
2025-11-23 0.208847 0.319082 0.495429 0.812102 1.399423 2.516514 5.014416
2025-11-30 0.200210 0.309947 0.488456 0.815440 1.436787 2.653806 5.479749
2025-12-07 0.189432 0.296583 0.473398 0.802867 1.442254 2.727154 5.811807
2025-12-14 0.180218 0.285270 0.461063 0.794176 1.454219 2.814940 6.192905
2025-12-21 0.168081 0.268323 0.437894 0.763441 1.419069 2.798140 6.313993
2025-12-28 0.164475 0.265797 0.439899 0.780552 1.483105 3.005270 7.042580
2026-01-04 0.160411 0.262211 0.439725 0.793331 1.539254 3.201858 7.784083
2026-01-11 0.155519 0.256873 0.435994 0.798710 1.579960 3.367831 8.476283
2026-01-18 0.150756 0.251495 0.431828 0.802823 1.618195 3.532795 9.201528
2026-01-25 0.146788 0.247332 0.429654 0.810785 1.665796 3.727092 10.059227